The 2014 Forecast has been great, and we don’t need to use many words
to see it.
This is my general forecast for the 2014 about Corn:
This is what I said in the Bulletin, in November 2013:Actually my favourite path is a general up movement till April or May (possible up and down in the first months of the year, at the moment I would like to see a brief weak phase till February and then up), then we should see a descent. The descent should start in May, but if we see a Low in May, it is possible that we are going to see another brief up acceleration till June, and then downtrend toward the last days of July/first days of August. I’m expecting a Low around the last 5 days of July or around the first 5 days of August, then up push toward the last days of August or the first 15 days of September and then down again toward lower levels in October or November.
Try to compare the Forecast with the 2014 Corn movement:
I feel I can say that the forecast about Corn 2014 has been almost
Maybe the next image can help you to see how the Forecast worked out in 2014…
2014 Soybeans Model:
As you can see, it is quite similar to
the 2014 Corn model. Well, it is not a secret the fact that these two
Commodities usually move quite in the same way.
This is what I wrote in the 2014 Bulletin:
It will be enough to have a look at the Soybeans movement over the 2014 to see how the forecast has been great (to see the real movements of the Futures during the summer, look at the July, August and September Futures):
To better see how the forecast worked in 2014 look at this comparison:
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